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[´Á¥Z/·s»D] [2009.11.26] ECO ªk®x¤W¨£ See you in court

[2009.11.26] ECO ªk®x¤W¨£ See you in court

Europe
Kosovo and Serbia
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See you in court
ªk®x¤W¨£
Nov 26th 2009
From The Economist print edition

An international court case creates tremors(¾_°Ê) in the Balkans and beyond
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KOSOVO is a tiny place. But on December 1st, when hearings begin at the United Nations¡¦ International Court of Justice on the legality of its 2008 declaration of independence from Serbia, people from Catalonia to Tibet will be paying it close attention. Serbia persuaded the UN general assembly(ij·|) just over a year ago to ask the court to intervene(¤z¯A). Its ruling may have ramifications(¤ÀªK) around the world.
¬ì¯Á¨U¬O­Ó¤p¦a¤è¡C¦ý¬O·íÅ¥»¡12¤ë1¤é°ê»Úªk°|·|§P¨M¬ì¯Á¨U2008¦~«Å§i±q¶ëº¸ºû¨È¿W¥ß¨ã¦³¦Xªk©Ê®É¡A±q¥[¤Óù¥§¦è¨È¨ì¦èÂ꺤H¥Á±N·|±K¤ÁÃöª`¡C¶È¶È¦b¤@¦~¥H«e¡A¶ëº¸ºû¨È»¡ªAÁp¤j­n¨D°ê»Úªk°|¤¶¤J¡Cªk°|ªºµô¨M±N·|¹ï¥þ¥@¬É²£¥Í¼vÅT¡C

Unlike the six former republics that became states after Yugoslavia collapsed in the 1990s, Kosovo was a province of Serbia. But some 90% of its 2m-odd people are ethnic(ºØ±Ú(¤W)ªº) Albanians. In Yugoslav times it had many of the attributes of a republic, with an assembly and government. After NATO¡¦s war in 1999, it became a UN ward(«OÅ@).
»P¦¹«eªº¤»­Ó¦b«n´µ©Ô¤Ò¤E¤Q¦~¥N­Ë»O«á¦¨¥ßªº¦@©M°ê¤£¦P¡A¬ì¯Á¨U¬O¶ëº¸ºû¨Èªº¤@­Ó¬Ù¡C¦ý¬O¨ä¨â¦Ê¨Ó¸U©~¥Á¤¤90¢H¬Oªüº¸¤Ú¥§¨È¤H¡C¦b«n´µ©Ô¤Ò®É¥N¡A¨äªñ¦ü©ó¦@©M°êÅé¨î¡A¨ã¦³Ä³·|»P¬F©²¡C¦b1999¦~¥_¬ù¾Ôª§«á¡A¥¦Åܦ¨¤FÁp¦X°êªººÊÅ@°Ï¡C

Serbia¡¦s lawyers argue that Kosovo¡¦s assembly had no right to declare independence and the UN should have nullified(¼o°£) its act. The Kosovars reply that this is a constitutional question, not an issue of international law, so the court has no business opining(ªí¥Ü·N¨£) on it. They also insist that Kosovo had a right to self-determination, just as much as the ex-Yugoslav republics.
¶ëº¸ºû¨Èªº«ß®v«ü¥X¡A¬ì¯Á¨UªºÄ³·|µLÅv«Å§i¿W¥ß¡AÁp¦X°êÀ³·í¼o°£¨ä¨Mij¡C¬ì¯Á¨U¤Ï»é»{¬°¡A³o¬O¤@­Ó¾Ëªk°ÝÃD¡A¦Ó«D°ê»Úªk°ÝÃD¡A¦]¦¹°ê»Úªk°|µLÅv¹ï¨ä¶i¦æ§P¨M¡C¥L­ÌÁÙ°í«ù»{¬°¬ì¯Á¨U¨ã¦³¦Û¨MÅv¡A´N¦p¦P«e«n´µ©Ô¤Ò¦@©M°ê¤@¼Ë¡C

In all likelihood, the opinion of the court (which is not binding) will be vague, because there are many differing views over self-determination. Most Western countries (but not, eg, Spain) accept that Kosovo¡¦s Albanians had that right. Some 63 states have recognised Kosovo¡¦s independence. But Russia says Serbia¡¦s right to territorial integrity(§¹¾ã) has been violated. Admittedly(¤@¯ë¤½»{¦a), Russia¡¦s position was weakened when it recognised the independence of Abkhazia and South Ossetia in August 2008¡Xbut the West¡¦s refusal(©Úµ´) to recognise either Georgian territory also seems to conflict with a recognition of Kosovo.
¦b¦h¼Æ±¡ªp¤U¡Aªk°|ªº§P¨M¡]¨ÃµL±j¨î©Ê¡^¬O§t½kªº¡A¦]¬°¨ä¤¤¥]§t¤F³\¦h¹ï©ó¦Û¨MÅvªº¤£¦PÆ[ÂI¡C¤j³¡¤À¦è¤è°ê®a¡]¦ý¤£¬O©Ò¦³¡A¨Ò¦p¦è¯Z¤ú¡^±µ¨ü¬ì¯Á¨Uªºªüº¸¤Ú¥§¨È¤H¦³¦Û¨MÅv¡C¤j¬ù63­Ó°ê®a©Ó»{¬ì¯Á¨Uªº¿W¥ß¡C¦ý¬O«Xù´µ»{¬°¶ëº¸ºû¨È¦³ÅvºûÅ@»â¤g§¹¾ã¤£¨ü«I¥Ç¡CµL¥i§_»{ªº¬O¡A«Xù´µ©ó2008¦~8¤ë©Ó»{ªü¥¬«¢¯÷©M«n¶ø¶ë±è¿W¥ß«á¡A¨ä¥ß³õ®z¤Æ¤F¡Ð¦ý¬O¦è¤è©Úµ´©Ó»{®æ¾|¦N¨Èªº¥ô¦ó»â¤g¥DÅv¦ü¥G¤]»P©Ó»{¬ì¯Á¨U¿W¥ß¬Û¤¬¥Ù¬Þ¡C

The irony is that, even if the court were to find against the Kosovars, Serbia would be quite unable to absorb 2m hostile(Ãh¼Ä·Nªº) Albanians. Some senior Serbs concede(©Ó»{) privately that the real aim of going to court is to be rid of Kosovo, not to get it back. They want to manoeuvre(¥©§®¦a¾ÞÁa) the Kosovars into a position where they feel forced to return to the negotiating table¡Xat which point Serbia might propose an exchange of Serb-inhabited(©~¦í©ó) north Kosovo for the Albanian-inhabited Presevo valley in Serbia.
¨ã¦³¿Ø¨ë·N¨ýªº¡A§Y¨Ïªk°|§P¨M¬ì¯Á¨U¿W¥ß¬°«Dªk¡A¶ëº¸ºû¨È¤]µLªk¦P¤Æ¤G¦Ê¸U¼Ä¹ïªºªüº¸¤Ú¥§¨È¤H¡C¤@¨Ç¶ëº¸ºû¨È°ª¼h¤H¤h¨p¤UùØ«j±j©Ó»{¡A´£°_¶D³^ªº¯u¹ê¥Øªº¬OÂ\²æ¬ì¯Á¨U¡A¦Ó«D«O¯d¡C¥L­Ì§Æ±æµ¹¬ì¯Á¨U¤H¬I¥[À£¤O¡A¨Ï¨ä­«ªð½Í§P®à¡X¶ëº¸ºû¨È¤H¥Øªº¦b©ó¥H¶ëº¸ºû¨È¤H»E©~ªº¥_¬ì¯Á¨U¦a°Ï¡A¨Ó¥æ´«¶ëº¸ºû¨È¹Ò¤ºªüº¸¤Ú¥§¨È¤H»E©~ªºPresevo®l¨¦¡C

In the unlikely event that the court finds that the Kosovars did indeed have an unqualified(¤£°÷¸ê®æªº) right to declare their independence, notes Marc Weller, an international lawyer at Cambridge University who supports their argument, the court ¡§would have set a huge precedent(§P¨Ò).¡¨ But for that very reason, the judges are unlikely to define exactly what the law is.
¸U¤@ªk°|§P¨M¬ì¯Á¨U¤H½T¹êµLÅv«Å§G¿W¥ß¡A¤ä«ùªk°|Æ[ÂIªº¼C¾ô¤j¾Ç°ê»Ú«ß®vMarc Weller«ü¥X¡Aªk°|¡§±N¶}³Ð¤@¶µ¥vµL«e¨Òªº§P¨Ò¡¨¡C¦ý¬O¥¿¬O¥Ñ©ó³o­Ó­ì¦]¡Aªk©x¤£¥i¯à·Ç½T¬É©w¾A¥Îªº­ã¾Úªk¡C

The question before the court asks only if it was legal for Kosovo to declare independence. Even if it was not, it may keep its independence. Yet, although Kosovo¡¦s government affects a nonchalant(ºz¤£Ãö¤ßªº) view of the proceedings, others are worried. Shyqyri Haxha, boss of PTK, Kosovo¡¦s post and telecoms operator, which wants to privatise(¨Ï¨p¦³(¥ÁÀç)¤Æ) its profitable(¦³§Qªº) mobile arm(³¡ªù), says that, unless the court finds clearly for Kosovo, it ¡§will have implications(²o³s) for foreign investment¡¨. He fears it might ¡§deter(¨ÏÂ_©À) big players from coming.¡¨
¥u¦³¦b­º¥ý½T»{¬ì¯Á¨U«Å§G¿W¥ßªº¦Xªk©Ê«á¡A°ê»Úªk°|¤~¥i¥H¶i¦æ¼f²z¡C¦pªG¤£¬O³o¼Ë¡A¦Ü¤ÖÀ³·í­º¥ýºû«ù¬ì¯Á¨Uªº¿W¥ß©Ê¡CÁöµM¬ì¯Á¨U¬F©²¹ï¦¹«ù§NºzºA«×¡A¦ý¦³ªº¤H«o«Ü¾á¤ß¡CShyqyri Haxha¡A¬ì¯Á¨U¶l¬F©M¹q«H¹B¥Î°ÓPTKªº¦ÑÁó¡A¥¿¦b³]ªk±N¬Õ§Qªº²¾°Ê³q°T·~°È¨p¦³¤Æ¡A¥L»{¬°°£«Dªk°|¹ï¬ì¯Á¨U§@¥X²M´·ªº§P¨M¡A§_«h¥¦¡§±N¼vÅT¥~°ê§ë¸ê¡¨¡C¥L¾á¤ßªk°|ªº§P¨M¥i¯à¡§ªýê¤j«¬§ë¸êªÌ¶i¤J¡¨¡C

Kosovo is not the only Balkan issue before the court. In another case Croatia is accusing Serbia of genocide during the 1990s war. Macedonia has a case against Greece. Montenegro and Croatia may ask the court to examine an old border dispute(ª§°õ). At least it beats killing each other.
¬ì¯Á¨U¹ï©óªk°|¤£¶È¶È¬O¤Úº¸·F¦a°Ïªºª§Ä³¡C¦b¥t¤@­Ó®×¥ó¤¤¡A§Jù¦a¨È«ü±±¶ëº¸ºû¨È¦b90¦~¥Nªº¾Ôª§¤¤¹ê¬IºØ±Ú±O±þ¡C°¨¨ä¹y¦³¤@¶µ°w¹ï§Æþªº¶D®×¡C¶Â¤s©M§Jù¦a¨È½Ð¨Dªk°|½Õ¬d¤@¶µ¥Ñ¨Ó¤w¤[ªºÃä¬ÉªÈ¯É¡C¦Ü¤Öªk°|¨î¯à°÷¤î¬Û¤¬±þ¼®¡C





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